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Old 05-11-2009, 09:30 AM
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Quote:
For example, when seven cards are dealt from a 52-card deck, the odds of hitting a royal flush are approximately 500,000 to 1. That’s why you don’t see very many of them in the real world, let alone get one yourself. Yet, on Full Tilt we saw a royal flush in approximately 1 out of every 4,432 hands dealt, over 1,000 times as often as statistical probability would dictate. Several of our players were dealt more than one royal flush over the course of the study.
lolololol. Horrible. The odds of hitting a royal flush is 500,000 to 1 and they used a 60,000 hand sample to test it. Interesting.
Quote:

The most common winning hand in our tournaments at Full Tilt was 2 pairs. It came up on average 1 out of every 13 hands, about twice as often as statistical probability would dictate. With a random seven-card deal from a 52-card deck, a 2-pair hand should come up every 21 hands on average.
Funny how they used the odds of 1 player hitting 2pair in 7card stud and compared it to statistics they compiled for an entire table at 9seat fullring holdem games.

Quote:
Likewise, all the other “big hands” occurred far more often on Full Tilt than one would expect from a truly random (and honest) deal. A straight came up in 1 out of every 54 hands dealt. Normal odds for a straight are 1 in every 283 seven-card hands. Likewise, a flush came up in 1 out of every 54 hands, the same as straights. In the real world, we would expect to see a flush in approximately 1 out of every 500 hands, or about half as often as a straight. On Full Tilt straights and flushes come up with almost equal frequency, yet another statistical anomaly.
Again their statistics are wrong. They don't take into account the fact that there are 9 players at the table, not 1. Somebody at the study shoulda realized that the odds of somebody having a big hand at a 9 player table is larger than the odds of a big hand happening if you just had 1 player.

Quote:
Interestingly, the most common straights on Full Tilt are the ace high straight and the five high straight. They came up more than four times as often as any other kind of straight. This, in and of itself, represents another glaring statistical anomaly.
Statistical anomaly??? This can't be for real. Maybe the fact that people play AK and AQ and AJ and KQ and KJ and JT and AT and KT and fold hands like 74 and 83 and 58 is the reason higher straights happen more than lower ones. Good god, this study is horrble.


This study wouldn't get a C-in a statistics class.
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Last edited by Jab Series; 05-11-2009 at 09:39 AM.
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