Only the cards behind seem to hold up
Quote:
Originally Posted by
IEatDope
wow thats just outrageous wish idda saved the hand i lost last night KK vs 27 i had red kings he had 2c7h board was 10c8c4cAc5s he wins with flush :(
It was basically a move. I had good suited connectors and either wanted to lowball and take the pot there or get one or two callers who wouldn't put me on the hand I had if I caught a good draw or flopped trips. Of course I flopped a monster that had every chance of improving to a full house or a flush. The whole hand was very Full Tiltish. I misplayed on the river but still, those occurences happen too regularly to be random on this site. You can never check, trap or slowplay anything on Full Tilt because as sure as the sun will come up in the morning, their 3 or 5 outer will hit on the next street. Every card that falls on that board is persuasive. There is no such thing as a blank card on Full Tilt.
I started playing this morning and immediately the bad beats started up again. My two pair beaten by 5 outer on the river, my made straight beaten by a full house on the turn. Then, I called a raiser with TT. The flop comes 788. He checkes and I bet. He turns over Q8. Right after that, I am all in with KA against Kt and he catches a 10 on the turn.
This is all within 10 minutes of each other following an absolute sea of bad beats yesterday, and the day before, and the day before that. It is never ending.
I know there is a thing called confirmation bias. I've considered confirmation bias and I can honestly say confirmation bias is not influencing my thinking. I've thought carefully about the run of luck I've had and tried to balance my thinking by keeping track of the luck I've had in my favour. I can honestly say I gave one bad beat with a crippled stack when i pushed with a bad hand. The only time my cards hold up is when I am behind.
-----Added 9 May 2009 at 09:00:38-----
Hey dude, nice analysis. I agree with you. I made a huge mistake on the river. Perhaps not an insta-fold but I should have thought about, ran the hand through my head and looked at what his likely hand ranges were. That's the difference between a good player and a bad player and I have a lot to learn. If nothing else, I should have asked the question 'would a player bluff in this situation given that I've represented a jack holding in my hand?'. Its a good lesson.
But still, in keeping in the context of this thread, my argument is that these hands seem to happen much to often online. Every hand feels like a set up hand. I mean, when you've got QJ suited against 2-5 what better cards could you put on the flop and turn to create action.
