-EV Rivershoves

This just in: I suck at poker.

Most of you already know that.

Moving on.

So I've been playing a looooottt of live poker lately.

Check that.

I've been playing a lot of inconsistent live poker lately. I play good. But then after I play good. I do the opposite, which is playing bad.

Friday.

So I start off my weekend by going to check out the campus card club on high. I wasn't planning on playing, but the game looked good. I happened to have 1k in my pocket (I subconsiously knew I was going to play). But was taking a week off from playing online, didn't want to play live either.

So I sit down with the max $200.

Spew spew spew. Rebuy rebuy rebuy.

Stuck $800 .

So I luckbox my last buyin up to $400, then skillbox it to $600. People leave. We get down to 3handed. Imediately on my right was an "ehhhhh" 18 year old player who kept trying to outplay me OOP in a short handed poker game (impossible). He kept randomly alternating between loosepassive and maniacle spewtard poker. So I play some good poker, get a nice double up from my high school phenom friend who was kind enough to make a questionable all in call to put me in the black.

Up $200

Saturday.

So I decide to go back to campus card club the next day. Nobody is there except me and Highschool phenom. He asks me, "do you just want to play heads up." I ask back "poker?" He says yes and I jump on the chance to play a spewy mostly live full ring player in a heads up cash game. Heads up live is pretty fun. Unfortunately he only brought 1 buyin. He starts off randomly 3betting for no apparent reason. He is taking the least credible lines as bluffs and still playing way too many hands OOP. I turn the aggression up as the match goes and as soon as I feel he is about to snap, I make an all in valueshove with flopped middle pair on the river and he calls with a hand apparently worse than middle pair. He didn't play bad though for an inexperienced HU player.

Up $400 now.

More people show up and we are 6 handed. The game is good but very very weak passive. Not much action. 2 good aggressive players on my left. 3 passive players on my riight. Very boring game. Perfect conditions for me to spew.

So I get dealt 87 of spades OTB. I raise. SB 3bets. I defend (not sure why). Flop comes AJ6 two clubs. He checks . I bet out 30. He raises to 90. He doesn't have Ax. And he probabally doesn't have jj either. I know that he either has AA or air so i decide to ship my 8 high no draw.

Perfect read.

He has AA.

Stuck $200 for the day and even for the weekend.

The game was boring so I decide to pass on the rebuy and head over to Gemini. I play for 6 hours of what can be described as solid poker (boring nitty poker) and book a massive $30 win after tips.

Sunday

Sleep till 7pm. Wake up. back to the Gemini.

I somehow put together a complete session. My reads were spot on and I manage not to spew too much. Wierd since this guy at my table was tilting me so hard. He bought in for $50 I think and for hours he just blinded down to $16. Never plays a hand. Then he calls a $6 straddle. I break the rules by inducing action and urging him to just ship it. He check folds the flop. One of the last hands of the night made me feel like a weak-tight nit. Good player opens from teh button. Very weak player with way too much money in his stack 3bets. I look down at QQ. I tank knowing I should just muck. I reason that I may have odds to setmine with my QQ and make a call. Flop comes T62 or something rainbow. I fold to cbet. Cash game breaks and I then dominate my best game: $20 high card for a $100 win and finish off a good session.

Up $1100

Monday.

I go back to Gemini for the 3rd day in a row at about 10pm. Their are about 45141780 tables running on the monday night and the games look especially soft. I see maybe 4 competent players in the room. I buy imediately in for $500. A player opens to 25 UTG. (players at Gemini aren't afraid to give away their hand strength with their preflop betsizing) I flat UTG+1 with 33. Flop comes KT3 2 clubs. I'm happy. The guy checks. I bet 60 into 50 because I can. He calls. Turn comes a jack. I'm unhappy since JJ was a very likely hand, but he checks and I bet again big. He shoves all in and rolls over AQ for a flopped gutshot. I am amazed again at how much action I get, but unfortunately, I didn't dodge the 4outer this time.

Stuck $500 within a half an hour, up 600 for the weekend

So I take an hour break then come back again later. The games are still good. I buy in for $600. I play for a long time only seeing a hand better than 1 pair once (and having to fold the turn with it). But I run over the table and manage to skillbox my way to a $1000 stack. I then luckbox my way to $1300 to be black for the day.

So there is a half an hour left and I am super deep with some very weak players. I finally look down at AA. Limp limp limp. I 10x it to 30. 4 callers (standard). Flop comes KK8 with 2 clubs. It checks to me. I bet pretty big. I get one caller. Turn comes offsuit blank. I don't like the KK on the board, but nobody is folding 99+ to me and I don't see him folding clubs so i bet again big for value. Call. River comes a K and he donks all in for 1000 more into the $700.

Good God!!!

Now I am the only player in the building capable of shoving 4 digits into a pot on a pure bluff. And the thin value shove with QQ is not in these players playbooks making this the easiest fold ever. Worst part is that AAAKK would be a bad beat but KKKAA does not get the jackpot. So I'm not going to say whether I made the call or not, but I will say...

Even for the weekend

I marathon sessioned my way to making 0 dollars in 40 hours of poker. Not good.

Oops, I forgot about tips, food, gas and use fees. I'm actually stuck close to $200.

FML

I should just play 1 cent 2 cent online.